Demography, Population Change, and Management

Introduction to demography
  • A scientific and mathematical study of the population is known as demography.
  • John Graunt is the father of demography.
Introduction to demographic components:
  • The factors which cause a change in the size of the population of a place.
  • Birth, death, and migration are known as demographic components.
Introduction to demographic process
  • The elements which cause the occurrence of demographic components is known as the demographic process
  • The demographic process is fertility, mortality, and migration.
Demographic measurement:
  • The methods of using demographic statistics and certain formulae to calculate and analyze the fertility, mortality, and migration rate.
  • Measurement of Fertility: Fertility is a process that causes a change in population
  • CBR=   1000

Where, CBR = crude birth rate

B= total number of live birth in a place in a given year

P = mid-year population of the given place

  • Mid-year population(p)=
  • Formula to calculate GFR =     1000

Where,
GFR = general fertility rate
B= total no. of live birth
P= mid-year population of the female having fecundity of that place

  • Formula to calculate ASFR=   

Where, ASFR= age specific fertility rate

Ba = total number of live birth given by females of a certain age or age group having fecundity at the place in a specific year

 = total mid-year population of that place of female

  • Formula to calculate total fertility rate

TFR =  

Where,

S= time interval between lower and the higher margin of an age group

= sum of all the age specific fertility rate of the place in the given year

1000= if the ASFR are measured in per thousand population.

Note: total fertility rate is the number of babies born by individual females of a place within their life span, which is calculated by adding all the ASFRS of the place of a year multiplying it by  and divide the overcome by 1000.

  • Measurement of mortality
  • Mortality is a demographic process which is responsible for population decrease.
  • Crude death rate (CDR) is total number of death occurring at a place per thousand people in a specified year.
  • Formula to calculate CDR =     1000

Where,

CDR = crude death rate
D = total number of deaths occurring at a place in a specific year
P = mid-year population of that place in a specific year

  • Age specific death rate (ADSR) is the total number of people dying at a place within specific year time period belonging to a certain age group in per thousand population of the same age group.
  • Formula to calculate ASDR =     1000

Where,

= total number of death of people at a place within a year belonging to certain group.

= total mid-year population of the people at the same age group.

  • Infant mortality rate
    • Infant mortality rate refers to the death of children below the age of 1 year.
    • Formula to calculate IMR =    1000

Where,

 = total no. of infant death in the given place within specific year

= total number of live births happening in that place in the year.

  • Maternal mortality rate
  • The ratio of total death of mother caused by pregnancy and maternity related causes per lakh lives births in a place within a given year .
    • Formula to calculate maternal mortality rate:
    • MM ratio =    1000

Where,

= total numbers of mothers dead at a place within a year due to pregnancy or maternity related causes

= total number of live birth taking place at that place in the given year.

  • Measurement of migration
  • In and out migration to and rom a place cause change in population growth.
  • In migration rate

Formula to calculate in migration rate =    1000

Where,

P= mid-year population of the place

I = number of in migrants

  • Out migration rate

Formula to calculate out migtration rate =    1000

Where,

P= mid-year population of the given year

O= number of out migrants

  • Gross migration rate

GMR =    1000

Where,

I = total number of in migrants in the place within the given year

O = total number of out migrants from the place within the given year

P = mid-year population of the place

  • Net migration ratr
  • NMR=    1000

where,

I = total number of in migrants in the place within the given year

O = total number of out migrants from the place within the given year

P = mid-year population of the place

  • Other measurements
  • Ratio of  natural increase (RNI)

Formula to calculate RNI =

  • Population growth rate(PGR)

PGR = RNI ±    100

  • Population doubling time (PDT)

PDT =

Where, PGR = population growth rate

  • Dependency ratio (DR)
    •  

Formula to calculate DR =    100

                          Where,

   = population aged from 0 to 14 years

 = population aged 60 and above

 =       population aged from 15 to 59 years

  • Sex ratio (SR)
  • The number of males in every hundred population of female in a place at a particular time
  • Formula to calculate SR =    100

Where,  = total population of male

 = total population of female

References:
Mishra, AD, et al. Pioneer Chemistry. Dreamland Publication.
Mishra, AD et al. Pioneer Practical Chemistry. Dreamland Publication
Wagley, P. et al. Comprehensive Chemistry. Heritage Publisher & Distributors Pvt. Ltd.

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